LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7
The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come with announcement successes into this Saturdays match.
LSU moved to Texas and beat the Longhorns in week two. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp last weekend. However, during this weeks matchup at Death Valley, both teams seem to take a place in the race over to College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the solution in their opinion. They have given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a point from the 4th quarter since their opener. Since he went 11 for 27 with three INTs into making bad decisions that were several last week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback, and it has led LSU to the offensive launch in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school soccer. This contains the 45 they dumped on the street on Texas.
As 13-point underdogs on BetNow that the Gators come in with the roar of Death Valley awaiting. Can the No. 5 defense keep this near and cover the spread? Or will Burrow and also win the wager up and the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling? Here is the breakdown.
Theres very little uncertainty in the skill of Burrow . Hes converted into a Heisman candidate, having an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the getting groups in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some big games. Chase is a physical presence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is an experienced target who will fill the place. It is all part of a passing game thats Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the toughest DB unit theyve played with all season. Northwestern State is an FCS team, but here would be the yards-per-attempt composed by LSU competitions: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Georgia Southern 111th.
Florida currently sits at 33rd, even although its safe to say theyve yet to play with a QB of all the standard of Burrow. They have played two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American whos living up to his billing. Shawn Davis generates a bunch of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on spot, but nonetheless has a ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will even face a, which will be healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami over the introductory week. Jabari Zuniga, believed to function as best pass-rusher coming in to this season, is coming back from injury. With him on both side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) over the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line will be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing defensive line, Even though his awareness must enhance in the pocket. Auburns according ranks 11th in lineup yards, and is arguably the finest in the country to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and is now currently 85th in bag rate. They will rely on blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask his game off. Even the Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not out of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the game and sprained a knee.
With the LBs more involved from the pass-rush, All-American security Grant Delpit needs to develop big in coverage. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dash) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most regarded as DBU for the gift they have on the outside of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him around the All-Freshman group, if not longer, in 2019.
Will soon be out of returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, that allowed the least amount of first downs. Though this group is currently in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, itll be a push if given a chance against a driven Trask.
Balance will be crucial as for Florida, that has not got their running game this season going however. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the line on his way to a 88-yard TD run . Even with this, the Florida o-line ranks 113th based on yards and also will be going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of power achievement (short-yardage scenarios ).
While the LSU front might not be strong. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the floor, and that is like Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed out the Kentucky game.
It puts ways strain on Trask at a hostile environment When they dont get Dameon or even Perine Pierce going consistently.
Florida has earned admiration from the school football world after week. And while I do not expect them to come out from Death Valley with a win against LSU, I really do see this sport staying many.
LSUs offense made unbelievable strides, also Burrow is just one of the more smart QBs from the FBS. However, LSU isnt likely to put up 45 or something close to that against a defense whos proven at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has fully developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will wear out over time, since they much too much to modify the wave in matches have been relied upon by the team. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject against Jefferson or the bodily Chase.
However, I do not expect this before late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the match in enough of a slog till then makes Florida the proper bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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